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The
late Malcolm Forbes was fond of remarking that the capabilities
that rocketed him to the top of the business tree were spelled
I-N-H-E-R-I-T-A-N-C-E.
Whilst it is true that certain of the characteristics for success
are probably genetically ingrained in the Forbes clan, the personalities
that distinguish three generations could not be more distinct.
Founded in 1917 by then Hearst columnist B.C. Forbes, FORBES Magazine,
known as The Capitalist Tool, is by its own definition, the business
bi-weekly geared to "the man at the top."
The last word,
written or otherwise, on dynastic enterprise, the Forbes family
lost its most flamboyant member when Malcolm Forbes, one of America's
most visible and adventurous billionaires, succumbed to what his
namesake, son and heir somewhat tongue-in-cheekly feels could
well have been his voracious appetite for extraordinarily varied,
and thriliseeking activities. Nonetheless, the legacy of the man,
from his mammoth birthday celebrations which are likely to secure
their place in history as the most photographed and most illustriously
attended, to his remarkable collections embracing the work of
Faberge, Presidential papers, toy armies and boats, priceless
works of fine art and, the ever-so-slightly incongruous Harley
Davidsons, have already secured him a permanent berth in the pantheon
of corporate American nobility.
Interviewed in the boardroom of the FORBES Magazine Galleries,
the former site of Macmillan publishing house and the homeof FORBES
since 1967, Malcolm Jnr visibly shares with his father only the
trademark spectacles. Member of countless committees and recipient
of as many accolades including the prestigious Crystal Owl prize
which he won a record four times - awarded to the reporter making
the most accurate economic forecasts for the coming year, Malcolm
Forbes Jnr. is also an author, Chairman of the Board for International
Broadcasting, President of the Brooks School Board, Director of
the Princeton University Investment Company, and, Editor-in-Chief
of FORBES Magazine amongst other formidable duties.
The scene of a rather costly rejection some forty odd years ago,
the boardroom is now invitingly set for afternoon tea. This is
where James Michener was given one dollar for cab fare and told
to take his literary wares to Random House - it was thought by
Macmillan then that he wasn't cut out to be a novelist. Today,
Malcolm Forbes Jnr. more commonly known as Steve, presumably to
differentiate himself from his father laughs at the irony of this
myopia. Good humoured and modest despite the intellectual weight
of his autobiographical notes, Steve Forbes wears the inevitable
comparisons between Malcolm Snr. and himself well. Outspoken,
mostly serious, perceptive and blessed with a unique insight into
the workings of the world's most fascinating financial dealings,
Steve Forbes is now top gun at the watchdog of American business.
A job he clearly enjoys. Kostas Metaxas spoke in 1991 with the
eldest of the Forbes offspring and discovers that a Malcolm Forbes
by name, does not necessarily imply an eponymous nature.
VIVE..
Firstly, you come from a long line of people involved in the magazine
business -and especially, the business of being in business. So,
interestingly, you are in effect, documenting the history of American
commerce at the same time as running a magazine...
FORBES: That's
true. My grandfather started the magazine back in 1917. We thus
consider ourselves to be the antidote to the Bolshevik Revolution.
He was then an editor and columnist at the Hearst papers. My grandfather
was the first one Hearst allowed to found a venture without Hearst
Inc. owning it. Then in 1928, Hearst offered to buy FORBES Magazine
for the then fabulous sum of one million dollars cash. My Grandfather
turned him down,and four years later came the Depression - the
magazine was broke in all but name. Fortunately, my grandfather
earned enough from freelancing and his writings to keep the publication
going ... Thank goodness he did, or I would now have to be earning
an honest living!
I was six years old when he died, and all I really remember about
him was that at the time he seemed to have extraordinarily long
hair. I found that very curious, and a few years later my father
told me the story behind it. Apparently, my grandfather believed
that if you lived to your
biblically allotted three score and ten - then you had the right
and were free to do what you wanted. My father obviously did not
wait until his allotted lifespan - probably as a result of all
his activities! My grandfather was quite a character - he maintained
that old Scottish burr, being tight with money; he loved languages
and he was self-taught having left school at the age of eleven
or twelve. He learned shorthand in order to become a reporter.
He believed strongly in the Victorian virtues of hard work and
sound living...
VIVE..
Are these characteristics inherited down the family lineage?
FORBES: My father inherited some of both my grandfather's and
my grandmother's characteristics. My grandmother was of Irish
descent and she believed that life was for living and money was
to be spent for fun and so I think that my father inherited my
grandfather's editing capabilities as a business sense and my
grandmother's love of life and living it to the hilt. My grandfather
nearly had a fit once when he was going through all the bills
and he said to my grandmother: 'Woman, why do you spend so?' She
innocently replied: 'Because I like to!' To him that was an example
of how nonsensical his wife was. Money was like the Victorian
attitude to sex - you had to spend it but it wasn't something
that you should enjoy doing!
VIVE..
You are the eldest of the Forbes clan, was it expected of you
to carry on in the business? Is a Forbes genetically predisposed
to work in publishing, or were you tempted by what one can only
assume were many opportunities to branch out on your own?
FORBES: My
father was far too smart to ram anything home about career, particularly
when
we reached adolescence. He was acutely aware that to do so was
to ensure that we would go another route entirely. Instead, I
suppose that it was just being in the environment in which I was
raised which influenced me. I had always been interested in working
on the newsheets and magazines at school. When I left college
and received a good job offer from FORBES, I immediately grabbed
it.
VIVE.
What was your father's attitude towards you as an employee?
FORBES: He
was very sensible. He had worked for his, father so he knew some
of the pratfalls, pitfalls and roadblocks of the situation. Initially,
I did not work with him: I worked for Jim Michaels, the Editor
whilst my father took a hands-off approach and it was understood
that way. I was given breathing room. The magazine was much smaller
when my father went to work. He actually had no intention of working
with his father. Before the War when he graduated from college,
he moved out to Ohio and bought a couple of small papers out there,
with the intention of creating a chain of weekly newspapers. It
was a real struggle and then the War happened and he sold the
newspapers before entering the army. When he had completed his
service, he was grateful to have the offer of a job on a salary
of 100 dollars a week from his father.
He did very well, but because it was a much smaller operation,
the interaction between the two was much closer than what we had.
He had an instinct of when to step in and when you leave it alone.
VIVE. What do you think that you have picked up from your
father and developed for yourself?
FORBES: My father was very dynamic, vibrant, outgoing and engaging
- he had more personality than me! But I think that oneof the
most important things that he taught my brothers and myself is
not to try to be what you are not. Don't try to imitate, don't
try to compete in this way or you will simply send yourself to
an early grave. So where our styles and personalities are very
different, I think that the spirit that animated him and animates
my brothers and myself is similar. We all share a love for the
business, we tend to enjoy it now because the trip is very short
so rather than wait for tomorrow we want to do it today.
VIVE..
I know this is a frequentlyasked question and one that you probably
hate to answer but is it difficult being compared with a personality
such as your father was? Were you prepared to suddenly take the
reins? He died so unexpectedly - one feels that there was an assumption
that he would go on forever.
FORBES: So did we! Nonetheless, he felt that one sign of a successful
executive was one who prepared his succession. He spent a lot
of time in this preparation so that if and when it did unexpectedly
occur, there would be a minimal amount of disruption and transition.
He was very much aware of his own mortality - he had been severely
wounded by machine gun fire in World War II so he wasn't going
to take any chances. He was too smart to harbour the illusion
that he would go on forever, although he would certainly try to
do so. He wanted this to remain a family business. From the day
I came to work here, he was working on ensuring that the business
would stay in the family. He thought a lot about it, he set up
a structure that would keep it in the family without disruption.
VIVE.. The whole structure of FORBES Magazine is such an
appealing one to the outside observer - from the people who contribute
such as Caspar Weinberger to the subject matter. What to you makes
FORBES a successful business?
FORBES: A fair assumption would be that a successful business
combines many elements that perhaps they don't teach in the managerial
courses or at business school. Caspar Weinberger has contributed
mightily to the success of this business in the last couple of
years since he has been on board, particularly in the last year
or so since my fathers death. It wasn't a case or 'Gee, wouldn't
it be fun to have the former Defence Secretary on the payroll...'
we are too Scottish to not be practical. We want to move ahead
and I think in terms of the comparisons with my father, I am endured
to that. To me, a successful business is the ultimate answer to
that question. I enjoy the editorial writing and my responsibilities.
So, if I am enjoying it, others can make any comparisons that
they want. It won't slow me down.
VIVE..
FORBES Magazine seems to be almost a law unto itself. It has been
in existence in this sphere for so long that the publication appears
to know more about what is going on in corporate America almost
before it happens.
FORBES: Forbes
is not so much a law unto itself as this - we do things that help
in ways that perhaps the competition may not have the imagination
to do. In terms of the way we write the magazine. Too often, as
is human nature, one starts to write for your peers or for your
Editor. Our Editor pounds it into our writers that they are here
to write for the reader, not for anyone else and that the reader
does not have all the time in the world for 'your priceless prose'.
The editing is fairly ruthless and no matter how prestigious you
are, no matter how many years you have under your belt, if the
story is too long, it is going to get chopped. The first and foremost
obligation is to the reader and I think that that is what gives
the magazine its spark - we write as if we are talking. We don't
feel that we need to use 'State Department' prose, we are here
to impart information which is achieved in a short, conversational
way that gets the point across using lively language.
VIVE. Do you have troubles with libelling language?
FORBES: Well,
libelling in the sense that we get our point across. Donald Trump
still has not forgiven us for exposing the flaws in his financial
situation . It is unravelling and he is still after us. Perhaps
it is human nature - one looks for a scapegoat, tries to shoot
the messenger. The banks didn't do it: he was obviously believing
his own publicity and we were the first to point out that there
was real trouble there. And so, he seems to think that his overborrowing,
poorly-negotiated deals were our fault - for pointing them out
rather than for him doing them.
VIVE..
Is that then a part of your job?
FORBES: Sure it is. We are a type of drama critic of corporate
America: we don't write a story unless we have a conclusion. Each
of our stories attempt to be, as our Editor puts it, a morality
play. We want you to come away with a lesson, a conclusion. So,
we assume that our readers have a knowledge of the daily news
and then we take it a step further - we give you an analysis,
a point of view, information that you don't get elsewhere. Just
because something is in the news, we are not going to write about
it unless we have something to add to it.
VIVE..
Clarifyng the facts and meticulous history checking must become
all important in that case...
FORBES: We do that more thoroughly than just about any other magazine.
We have the suitable resources and budgets to undertake this sort
of research and while we occasionally make mistakes, we can always
point to the source of that misinformation! I feel that because
we make conclusions, the facts must be above reproach if not our
conclusions will not be taken seriously.
VIVE.. Have the style and duties of the magazine changed
dramatically since the days of your grandfather in this respect?
FORBES: The thread that has run since my grandfather's time is
the emphasis on people who run companies. Our stories will be
full of facts and figures but we always focus it on the person
or persons who are in top management. My grandfather felt and
we still believe this today, that a company, no matter how good
its product, no matter how strong its balance sheet, if the head
knocker is a knucklehead, the company is going to flounder. By
contrast, if the company is in a rough industry but has good management
then it will find a way to right itself. So, we don't believe
in sweeping historic forces, we believe that whether it is the
President of thecountry or the president of the company, that
person plays a vital role in shaping entities and fortunes.
VIVE.. Let's return again to corporate America and how FORBES
has been instrumental in documenting its fates and fortunes and
financial cycles. If you were toanalyse the last decade and then
compare it to the rest of the century, would it have been unique
or just more of the same wearing a different suit?
FORBES: It
was a remarkable decade because it was a black and white contrast
to a decade of stagnation, insecurity and inflation in the Seventies.
In the early Eighties, we did things right - we lowered tax rates,
deregulated, stimulated the economy and gave people more scope
to do things. So, the economy in terms of companies created, jobs
created, new technologies - not only created but exploited, was
one of the best decades in this countrys economic history. Everyone
now focuses on its excesses, but you can look at any decade and
find its underside as long as you have people, you are going to
have less-than-saintly behaviour. But the decade as a whole was
remarkable as was the way in which the U.S. economy transformed
itself in manufacturing and elsewhere to become instead of the
laggard of the world, the leader of the world. Everyone focuses
on a chosen myopia - the business press and economists focussed
on government deficits even though the overall deficits in this
country in the Eighties were less than those of many other nations,
including Germany in proportion to our size and on trade, neglecting
the fact that we are importing more machinery, more machine tools
and parts than we ever did before, it was for the right reasons
not the wrong reasons. We were restructuring and we emerged the
stronger for it and one of the sad things we see today, is the
possibility that we may be backtracking to the policies of the
Seventies: over-regulation, raising taxes... why the government
would want to do this in a Recession is beyond comprehension.
VIVE..
What about the whole phenomenon of greenmailing junk bonds and
the like - the tools for the new breed of corporate player?
FORBES: Well, what happened in that respect was that initially,
junk bonds started out as a vehicle for companies that otherwise
couldn't get capital . Take Fibreoptics which is the great new
technology of the Nineties, it would not have been developed had
it not been for junk bond financing making it possible. In terms
of takeovers, for the first time in forty years, corporate management
became accountable to their shareholders. When we went to college
in the sixties, we were always taught that companies are self-perpetuating,
you have a managerial class, shareholders don't matter... then
suddenly in the Eighties, the shareholder came back with a vengeance.
To concentrate only on the excesses is like saying, well, gee
we better ban the motor car because some people are dangerous
behind the wheel,' or 'let's ban stocks because you get speculation.'lf
we made some changes in the tax codes, in terms of not rewarding
debt over-equity, you would see a lot of those excesses all go
by the wayside.
Greenmailing, what was that? That was entrenched corporate management
oblivious to shareholders concerns, trying to pay someone off
to get rid of them. That could easily been taken care of through
having a shareholder vote if you were going to pay someone a certain
premium above a certain price, there were ways of dealing with
that. But I think it was not just greenmail that should have been
criticised, it was corporate management for being willing to pay
these people off. They didn't go to Congress and ask for the power
to call a shareholder vote, they wanted to pay off with no attention
paid to the dealings.
The problem apropos banks and the S&L's was not so much deregulation
as much as the deregulation was very incomplete. If you want a
level playing field, why did they raise the deposit insurance
from $40,000 to $100,000? If you were going to go out on your
own, you were going to have to raise capital just like everyone
else without a government guarantee. Having put the government
guarantee out there, they should have made sure that the premiums
as you would in any free market, be based on the quality of your
portfolio. Instead everyone got charged the same price whether
you had good loans or garbage loans, you paid the same price for
the insurance. Now what kind of incentive was that?
If they had deposit reform done in the early Eighties, where you
couldn't get it unless you met certain conditions, or if you got
it, that money that you raised through those insured deposits
had to go for short term investments like you do in a money fund,
if they had done that, then you wouldn't have had the S&L
debacle. If they had worked to stabilise the dollar instead of
knocking it down, then you would have had lower interest rates
and you wouldn't have had the magnitude of the disaster there.
Or, if you take airline deregulation - they deregulated one part
of the airlines but they didn't deregulate the other part, which
is the whole element of the FAA They're sitting now on'$8 or $10
billion in a trust fund, that was collected through airport taxes
and was supposed to be spent on airport infrastructure and they
never spent it! You could have 50% more airline planes, more capacity
flying today with up-to-date computer controller systems - they
have the technology now where you could vastly increase that capacity,
there is no need for those huge airport delays at airports. And
if they freed up the FAA, if they freed up the selling and buying
of slots, the building of small airports, you would have had both
sides of the equation, not just the flying side, but the airport
service side freed up. Then, you would have had the real benefits
of deregulation.
VIVE.
So, your main criticism of the period is that so many of the strategies
were incomplete...
FORBES: Deregulation did not fail completely more people are flying
today than ever before, airfares are substantially lower than
what they were ten years ago, it is just that now that it has
become obvious that the implementations were not complete, don't
try and turn back the clock which created inefficiencies and overpriced
tickets, bring it to its more logical conclusion.
VIVE..
Looking into your own crystal ball, what then do you see as the
outcome of this economic period throughout the world?
FORBES: The
next few months are going to be really rough because every Central
Bank has
been on a credit squeeze, including our own. Our regulators now
in reaction to S&L's have frightened banks so that they don't
make any loans in a big knee jerk reaction. They are overcompensating
for what they should have been doing four or five years ago. But
I think if you look beyond next year which is going to be turbulent,
just as this year was, the prognosis should be good, barring doing
dumb things like in this country, not passing any capital gains
tax reduction which is ludicrous. Virtually every other country
is much lower and if you want competition, you want to create
an environment where people can start businesses to challenge
the existing order. That means a lower tax on capital, not a greater
one because that is how you create the new enterprises. That is
the lesson of the Eighties. You want to increase government revenue
so make it more worthwhile for people to do more business so you
can take a bigger slice of money. Between 1982-86 in this country,
capital gains tax revenues went from $13 billion to $49 billion.
Then they raised it substantially and then went down. Last Fall,
when Congress almost passed a cut, a minority in the Senate blocked
it and small stocks were first hit and this Summer, even before
Iraq, the Blue Chips started to wobble.
VIVE..
If you were a businessman looking to find a potential economic
and commercial Utopia,where would you head on the benefit of your
knowledge and powers of observation?
FORBES: It would naturally depend on what kind of business and
what kind of businessman, but generally speaking, if you were
the kind who likes to operate out of a suitcase then you would
find opportunities in Eastern Europe. I think the most promising
for the Nineties is the U.S.. Germany still has a lot of restrictions
in setting up business, they regulate everything over there. Then
I think as the decade wears on, the surprise is going to be Latin
America. Mexico is starting, to get its act together; Brazil is
floundering right now but the message on the winds is good.
In terms of Latin America, one of the things that you see happening
which economists overlook is that economics is people and one
of the signs which I think is the harbinger of a good future is
the extraordinary rise of evangelical Protestantism in Brazil
and elsewhere. It is people saying that the old system is not
good - I want my pride, I want the feeling that I have control
over my life. So you look at the changes that Celinas is doing
in Mexico, look at the social changes that are starting to take
place in countries like Peru, and Brazil where you can eventually
change some of the crazy policies that are now in place in Brazil.
Looking ten or twelve years down the track, you can see Latin
America really begin to boom the way that the Pacific Rim did
in the late Seventies and Eighties.
VIVE..
What then are your predictions for the South-East Asian region
in the coming year?
FORBES: Well,
I think it is going to depend on how quickly those countries restructure
themselves. They started a little bit of it in the Eighties -
then New Zealand threw its Prime Minister out, Hawke has made
some progress in Australia but there is still a ways to go. In
terms of removing trade barriers - it was only in the Eighties
that Australia opened up its financial system a little bit but
you still have very protectionist trade policy. Your tax rates
are ludicrous, so if you want to participate in the global economy,
a global boom, you can't pretend that you are an isolated fortress
in the Pacific. The more those countries open up, the more a lot
of existing interests will have to become competitive again.
But there
is no reason why you can't fully participate - Australia's future
is not so much minerals and resources like everybody says that
can be a part of it - but you can certainly develop the human
capital to do far more than just dig into the ground. It is there
and 1 think the fact that when you bring in outsiders be they
Chinese or Hungarians after the '56 revolution, they really move
it in your country. So. I think that with some structural changes,
some systemic changes those countries should do very well. But
unfortunately, they still have the baggage of Fabian Socialism
of Britain and the idea that a countryof 17 million as in Australia's
case can sustain the same weight of regulations that Pre-Thatcher
Britain used to have. You can't afford that any more.
If Australia opened up, I think that the economy would develop
a depth so that as in the US, a Trump can come along and rise
and fall but life goes on. Through leverage and aggressiveness,
the Australian tycoons who have fallen got way ahead of themselves
but they had an outsized influence whereas if you had a stronger
economy, they wouldn't have risen quite so far. I think that it
is a sign that there were rigidities there and it is too bad you
had to depend on them to shake it up a little bit. If you made
some changes on the tax regulatory side, you would get a much
broader base of businesses, entrepreneurs and services than you
did through a handful who were like comets spectacular but where
are they now?
VIVE. The issue of 'how the mighty have fallen' can be well
applied to someone like Michael Milken who went from corporate
hero to white collar criminal in the public estimation...
FORBES: Milken
was never so much a corporate hero in the sense that an Iacocca
was, as he was a figure of enormous power who could very easily
disrupt a boardroom meeting of the best directors in the country
with one phone call. He wasn't someone that kids emulated, who
they wrote to for autographs, he in fact shunned the limelight
and made it difficult to be approached. He thus appeared to be
more sinister. Right now Iacocca has a real challenge in reviving
Chrysier again in this current slump but I think that even depsite
Chrysler's troubles, Iacocca's reputation is higher than Milken's
ever was.
Trump, I think appealed to people's Waiter Mitty side: he was
brash, he was young, he was the baby boomer's age, did grand things,
challenged the city... people applauded him. The problem was that
he started to believe his own palaver that he could turn lead
into gold so he started overpaying: the Plaza, the airline he'd
be lucky to get fifty cents in the dollar on that and most of
all he went on an expansion binge and ruined himself - all on
leverage and borrowings, and business just wasn't there. He was
like the emperor without any clothes parading around as if he
still had all his robes on. The banks have put him on artificial
respiration because they are scared if they pull the plug it will
end up costing them more than if they pretend he still has a viable
business.
VIVE.. Can a definitive profile of the corporate American
be painted?
FORBES: I don't think so. In this country you can't come up with
a typical CEO. You find multitudinous styles from the touchy-feely
to the corporate terror - it ranges over the lot. On the whole
though, you find Americans a lot more adaptable and willing to
try something new that might work.
VIVE..
How do you perceive the notion that America searches for its royalty
in two spheres: Hollywood and Commerce?
FORBES: Royalty in America, if you want to call it that, is like
an ongoing French Revolution. We don't decapitate people literally,
but in terms of a rise and fall of businesses and fortunes, because
you are on the throne one day, doesn't mean that you are not going
to be running from the mob the next. It is perpetual, there is
very little longterm stability anywhere and that makes this country
in one sense a little uneasy for someone who comes from a society
like Britain where even the eccentric has his pigeon hole and
everyone has their place. In this country there are no places.
It is wide open. If you are not open, then you are not going to
make it. But there is a downside. This country's peculiarity is
what they call - the loneliness of the crowd, you do have the
anxiety that yes, you can go up, but there is no reason why you
can't go down just as rapidly. America is quick to reward but
just as quick to punish.
VIVE..
Have you ever wanted to expand FORBES Magazine globally?
FORBES: It is really an American magazine although we have a German
edition that is doing
very well and we have a Chinese edition coming out soon - that
will include Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea ... We are growing in this
country and one of the advantages of being privately owned is
that we don't have to be big for the sake of being big. That gets
you in big trouble.
VIVE.
In what direction will you take the company?
FORBES: That is very difficult to say. My father and I worked
closely together so there is no hidden agenda. I think that continuing
to make the magazine more useful - indispensable to our business
audience is first and foremost. If there are other opportunities
then we will take them but my father liked to say that the biggest
lies are Five Year Plans.
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